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Central and Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook (8/14/19)

Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) and National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently watching 2 areas of interest. Both potential disturbances have less than 40% chance of develop in the next 5 days. No watches or warnings are in effect for the island of Hawaii.

Update for the Central Pacific basin:


Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Wed Aug 14 2019 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located about 1100 miles southwest of Oahu have remained disorganized over the past 24 hours. Some subsequent development of the system is possible as it moves west northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.


Update for the Eastern Pacific basin:


For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. The first few visible satellite images of the day indicate that the the low pressure system located more than 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula does not have a well-defined center, and the circulation remains elongated. In addition, the low is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity at this time. Environmental conditions are expected to be marginally conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could still form over the next few days before the system reaches cooler waters and upper-level winds become unfavorable. This disturbance is forecast to move west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. 2. A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form south or southeast of the southeastern coast of Mexico over the weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of the system early next week while the system moves generally westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

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