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Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook for July 20th, 2019

National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) currently monitoring 3 potential disturbances in the Eastern and Central Pacific.


One disturbance has 80% chance of formation in the next 5 days.

National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) currently monitoring 3 potential disturbances in the Eastern and Central Pacific. Here's Update from the NHC (as of 10:00 pm PDT on July 19th) and see the CPHC below:


For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. A large area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico is associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week. This disturbance is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. 2. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an elongated area of low pressure located more than 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have become less organized this evening. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive and development of this system is not expected while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.


Update from CPHC (Updated on July 19th, 2019 at 8:00 pm):


For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. 1. An area of disturbed weather is located several hundred miles south-southeast of the Big Island. Environmental conditions are forecast to remain marginally conducive for development over the next couple of days. After which, conditions will be less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 5 days.

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