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East Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook for July 15th, 2021

The HIRSC - Weather Team continues to monitor a tropical cyclone in the East Pacific Ocean Basin, Major Hurricane Felicia, which is located approximately 2,261 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island.


The HIRSC - Weather Team is also continuing to monitor an area of interest that has a very high chance of becoming an organized and named system in the next 5 days.

Published by: HIRSC - Weather Team

info@hiradioscannercommunity.com


The HIRSC Weather Team is continuing to monitor one tropical cyclone and another an area of interest in the East Pacific Ocean Basin. The first system, Major Hurricane Felicia is located approximately 2,261 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island. No major weather impacts are expected from Felicia in the immediate forecast and according to the latest models, Felicia is expected to move south of Hawaii Island as a weak tropical storm sometime late next week, however, the weather impacts to Hawaii Island are still unknown at this time and will have a better idea by mid-next week.


The second area is an area of interest is located 3,648 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island, and has over a 90% chance of forming into an organized and named storm in the next 5 days. Still, to tell the weather impacts for Hawaii Island.


We will continue to monitor both tropical systems over the coming days and provide daily updates until the very end of both systems.

 

Major Hurricane Felicia Update:

BULLETIN
Hurricane Felicia Advisory Number   8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062021
800 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021

...FELICIA CONTINUES RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE OVERNIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.2N 120.2W
ABOUT 855 MI...1380 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM PDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Felicia was
located near latitude 15.2 North, longitude 120.2 West. Felicia is
moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A gradual turn to the
west-southwest is expected by Friday, and a westward motion is
forecast this weekend.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 110 mph (175 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected tonight,
and Felicia is forecast to become a major hurricane overnight.  
Some slow weakening is possible by this weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 200 AM PDT.
 

Area of Interest Update

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Jul 15 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Felicia, located over 800 miles southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California peninsula.

1. A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of 
the coast of southern Mexico is producing a large area of 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions 
are expected to remain conducive for gradual development during the 
next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form this 
weekend and move westward or west-northwestward at around 15 mph, a 
few hundred miles offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high..70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.


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