Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook for October 7th, 2020

The HIRSC Weather Team is monitoring Tropical Cyclone Nobert (currently a Tropical Storm with sustained winds of 40 mph, currently stationary and located approximately 3,195 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island) and area of interest off the western coast of Mexico in the eastern Pacific Ocean.


(See post for further details on Tropical Cyclone Nobert and another area of interest)

Published by: HIRSC - Weather Team

info@hiradioscannercommunity.com


The HIRSC Weather team is monitoring Tropical Cyclone Nobert, currently, a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 40 MPH and remains fairly stationary and located approximately 3,195 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island. Tropical Cyclone Marie maintains its current status as a tropical storm over the next few days and will remain a good distance away from the Island and the State of Hawai'i. No major weather effects are also expected.


The weather team is also monitoring an area of interest off the western coast of Mexico in the East Pacific, which has a 60% chance of becoming an organized tropical cyclone in the next 5 days. Will continue to monitor this area of interest and provide updates, should it become an organized system.


Tropical Cyclone Marie is now a remnant low and the remnant moisture associated with Marie will get caught in the trade wind flow and expected to increase windward and mauka showers with the possibility of heavy showers and thunderstorms over the island of Hawai'i sometime on next late weekend into early next week based on the latest forecast.


The Island of Hawaii will continue to see a stable trade wind pattern through the rest of the week and bringing with it the possibility for windward and mauka showers, mainly during the evenings into the early morning hours. The Kona Coast will continue to see clear mornings and some afternoon clouds and the possibility of showers along the western slopes of Hualalai and Mauna Loa (South Kona region) through the rest of the week.


The HIRSC Weather Team will continue to monitor the progress of Tropical Cyclone Norbert and the area of interest in the East Pacific Ocean and provide updates on the latest track released.


Forecast Update on Tropical Cyclone Nobert from the National Hurricane Center (NHC):

Tropical Storm Norbert Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192020
900 AM MDT Tue Oct 06 2020

...NORBERT CHANGES LITTLE AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.2N 106.6W
ABOUT 365 MI...585 KM SSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Norbert was
located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 106.6 West. Norbert is
moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slower
northwestward motion is expected until tonight. The system is
forecast to meander thereafter through midweek.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slow strengthening is possible over the next few days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the next 5 Days

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Norbert, located several hundred miles southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually become better 
organized in association with an elongated area of low pressure 
located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California peninsula.  Further development of this system is 
possible and a tropical depression could form during the next few 
days while it moves slowly northwestward at about 5 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.
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