Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook for September 30th, 2020

The HIRSC Weather Team continues to monitor Tropical Cyclone Marie (currently a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph and moving to the west at 16 MPH) in the East Pacific Region and located 2,720 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island.


(See post for further details on Tropical Cyclone Marie)

Published by: HIRSC - Weather Team

info@hiradioscannercommunity.com


The HIRSC Weather team is monitoring Tropical Cyclone Marie, currently, a Tropical Storm with maximum sustained winds of 60 MPH and moving to the West at 16 MPH and located approximately 2,720 miles East-Southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island. Tropical Cyclone Marie will continue on a trend to strengthening Hurricane by Wednesday evening and later into a Major Hurricane by Friday morning.


While the forecast models are still in a disagreement on the forecast track of Marie past Friday, it's still to earlier to tell if any weather impacts or effects are expected for Hawaii Island from Marie and the HIRSC - Weather Team should have a better idea by the end of this week. We will continue to provide daily updates on Marie.

Forecast Update on Tropical Cyclone Marie from the National Hurricane Center (NHC):


Tropical Storm Marie Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182020
300 AM MDT Wed Sep 30 2020

...MARIE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 112.5W
ABOUT 630 MI...1015 KM SSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Marie was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 112.5 West. Marie is
moving toward the west near 16 mph (26 km/h).  A westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected through Friday.  

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) 
with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely, and Marie is 
expected to become a hurricane by tonight.  The storm is forecast 
to become a major hurricane within a couple of days. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.


27 views
  • HIRSC Twitter