Tropical Cyclone Outlook # 2 for July 21st, 2020
The HIRSC - Weather Team is continuing to monitor a tropical cyclone in the East Pacific Basin:
Tropical Depression Seven-E has become a remnant low and no longer being monitored by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). No weather impacts are expected for Hawaii Island.
Tropical Storm Douglas continues to churn in the East Pacific basin. Based on the latest weather forecast models as of 11 pm HST Tuesday evening, Douglas is expected to strengthen into a Hurricane on Wednesday (July 22nd). The center of Douglas is located 1,869 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii Island.
Still, too early to tell the weather impacts to Hawaii Island, HIRSC Team will continue to monitor Douglas as it moves closer to Hawaii Island and will provide an update late Wednesday evening (July 22nd) on the latest forecast and track of Tropical Cyclone Douglas.
Published by: HIRSC - Hawaii Island (Holualoa) and Weather Team
info@hiradioscannercommunity.com
Weather Bulletin for Tropical Storm Douglas (As of 11 pm HST - 7/21/2020)
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Douglas Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082020
1100 PM HST Tue Jul 21 2020
...DOUGLAS STILL A TROPICAL STORM ...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOON...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...11.9N 128.0W
ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 1875 MI...3020 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM HST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Douglas was
located near latitude 11.9 North, longitude 128.0 West. Douglas is
moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A turn toward the
west-northwest along with an increase in forward speed is forecast
to occur by late Wednesday. The west-northwestward motion is
forecast to continue at least through Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days,
and Douglas is expected to become a hurricane on Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the East Pacific Region (As of 11 pm PST - 7/21/2020:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 21 2020
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Douglas, located a little over 1300 miles west-southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
1. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well south of the
southern coast of Mexico and portions of Central America later this
week. Gradual development of this system will be possible late
this weekend while it moves generally west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.